LOG5

Understanding Log5

Refers to a formula developed by Bill James, the noted baseball sabermetrician, to predict outcomes. Most baseball sims rely on some version of the formula. Here are some useful links.

• A Discussion by Bill James
• The Morey Z Version of the Formula

Prior to Version 7.0 we relied exclusively on the Original Version of the Formula. But beginning with the 7.0 release we are using either the Morey Z Version--which mitigates against extremes and statistical 'outliers'--or a hybrid of Morey Z with the Original.